Volume 07,Issue 01

Statistic and Probabilistic Variations and Trends of Rainfall Data of TRNC

Authors

Mir Mohammad Ali Malakoutian, Pooria Mostafapoor, Yas Malakoutian

Abstract
The characteristic summer aridity of the region has significant implications in several socio-economic sectors. Cyprus is facing its worst ever water shortage in the last few decades. Climate models are widely used to project present and future changes of climate variables. Although the ability of models has improved, systematic biases can be found in model simulations. Therefore, it is recommended the accuracy of model simulations of past or contemporary climate to be evaluated by comparing the results with observations. Therefore, with the monthly rainfall data of TRNC six meteorological regions for the hydrologic years from September 1975 to August 2014 period, the homogeneity tests were as well carried out. The results show that P-value=0.38>0.05. Therefore, the Central Mesaria time series is normally distributed. In addition, it can be understood the number of wet spells is 18 (means 47%), number of Dry spells is 21 (means 53%). Therefore, the Central Mesaria is in dry spell during the studied period.

Keyword: Rainfall, TRNC, T-test, F-test, Wet or dry spells.

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